Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 24.497589 29.291399 34.551037 40.720885 47.729797 55.413991 64.444240
2025-07-20 17.854649 24.261136 31.981908 41.841952 53.960312 68.225692 86.134728
2025-07-27 14.203901 21.356403 30.623835 43.227962 59.613679 79.871989 106.453792
2025-08-03 11.642239 19.136285 29.471784 44.286390 64.442577 90.347244 125.519639
2025-08-10 9.279401 16.648998 27.443120 43.694679 66.743997 97.410932 140.317518
2025-08-17 7.745770 15.058907 26.365533 44.137167 70.254822 106.030097 157.341614
2025-08-24 6.396989 13.479727 25.029179 43.948858 72.700595 113.159838 172.520700
2025-08-31 5.075083 11.665326 23.034893 42.472388 73.029461 117.199270 183.466114
2025-09-07 4.375080 10.830360 22.505241 43.174276 76.564378 125.866434 201.136320
2025-09-14 3.554982 9.581579 21.075881 42.223444 77.408897 130.555723 213.208279
2025-09-21 3.134002 9.063183 20.870603 43.269842 81.408712 140.038524 232.518687
2025-09-28 2.437868 7.768867 19.022878 41.254842 80.264135 141.603158 240.118100
2025-10-05 2.151251 7.409002 19.027212 42.702158 85.195666 153.148165 263.748078
2025-10-12 1.861660 6.973095 18.828458 43.779031 89.614944 164.175659 287.169366
2025-10-19 1.640626 6.656233 18.826906 45.208965 94.702163 176.451454 312.917451
2025-10-26 1.428002 6.297422 18.672293 46.304957 99.234169 187.980851 337.857863
2025-11-02 1.150374 5.639731 17.721927 45.691987 100.619968 194.372368 354.882560
2025-11-09 0.973447 5.243429 17.321003 46.150352 103.960229 204.098636 377.481838
2025-11-16 0.797053 4.773347 16.651345 45.955288 106.034484 211.732657 396.906859
2025-11-23 0.605123 4.142069 15.437449 44.425648 105.430526 214.718037 408.803116
2025-11-30 0.517403 3.904133 15.243702 45.152862 109.230746 225.440264 433.716647
2025-12-07 0.399475 3.453070 14.353405 44.167702 109.555140 230.043516 448.555270
2025-12-14 0.348071 3.307579 14.339880 45.251869 114.095532 242.273754 476.514475